Conf = MAC-Commonwlth
Nickname = PA Falcons Coach = Dan CarsonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.1797638 home-field advantage = -0.70 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 A Catholic Landmark (10- 9, 87.3) 11-10 224 H Marymount AEC ( 9-10, 84.4) 21- 8 228 A Franklin & Marshall Centennial ( 7-10, 90.7) 5-12 302 A Stevens MAC-Freedom (18- 3, 95.3) 2-14 306 H Bridgewater ODAC ( 6-11, 83.3) 17-11 309 H Mary Washington CLC ( 8- 9, 90.4) 13-12 313 A Southern Virginia USA South ( 8-11, 82.2) 21- 9 316 A Guilford ODAC ( 8-10, 82.8) 19- 9 323 A St Marys (MD) UnitedEast (14- 7, 90.3) 15-19 328 H Lebanon Valley MAC-Freedom ( 7-10, 83.9) 21-10 406 H Hood MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 8, 83.8) 14-12 410 A Eastern MAC-Commonwlt ( 8-11, 89.6) 15-12 413 A Albright MAC-Commonwlt ( 6-10, 81.3) 21-10 417 H Widener MAC-Commonwlt ( 4-12, 85.1) 16- 7 420 A Stevenson MAC-Commonwlt (14- 7, 94.1) 9-22 424 H Alvernia MAC-Commonwlt ( 4-12, 79.0) 14- 2 427 A York MAC-Commonwlt (10- 8, 94.2) 19-21 501 A Stevenson MAC-Commonwlt (14- 7, 94.1) 19-26
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Catholic 11-10 1 1 -0.25 224 H Marymount 21- 8 13 5 1.46 228 A Franklin & Marshall 5-12 -7 -2 -- -4.84 302 A Stevens 2-14 -12 -6 -0.28 306 H Bridgewater 17-11 6 6 -0.67 309 H Mary Washington 13-12 1 0 1.39 313 A Southern Virginia 21- 9 12 6 0.64 316 A Guilford 19- 9 10 5 1.27 323 A St Marys (MD) 15-19 -4 -1 - -2.24 328 H Lebanon Valley 21-10 11 6 0.96 406 H Hood 14-12 2 6 -- -4.16 410 A Eastern 15-12 3 -1 ++ 4.01 413 A Albright 21-10 11 7 0.00 417 H Widener 16- 7 9 4 + 2.15 420 A Stevenson 9-22 -13 -5 -1.51 424 H Alvernia 14- 2 12 10 0.00 427 A York 19-21 -2 -5 + 3.62 501 A Stevenson 19-26 -7 -5 -1.51UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Franklin & Marshall 5-12 -7 -2 -- -4.84 406 H Hood 14-12 2 6 -- -4.16 323 A St Marys (MD) 15-19 -4 -1 - -2.24OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Eastern 15-12 3 -1 ++ 4.01 417 H Widener 16- 7 9 4 + 2.15 427 A York 19-21 -2 -5 + 3.62
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 89.27 Power Rank................. 61 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 71.69 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 62 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5676 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 118 RPI Rating............... .5450 RPI Rank................... 79 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 153 Selection sum ........... 273 Selection Rank ............ 86 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -85. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 74 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -85. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 76 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 15.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 12.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 11.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 11.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 11.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0